Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.687212 0.877523 1.091254 1.346351 1.639827 1.964294 2.347524
2025-08-31 0.417971 0.652625 0.950355 1.343310 1.835953 2.421478 3.158076
2025-09-07 0.281754 0.537450 0.901090 1.423954 2.125442 3.005087 4.161892
2025-09-14 0.186120 0.440212 0.845547 1.476315 2.373680 3.549662 5.151403
2025-09-21 0.118313 0.355896 0.782998 1.499838 2.575000 4.038634 6.091488
2025-09-28 0.068065 0.275043 0.700787 1.473412 2.693600 4.415041 6.894907
2025-10-05 0.041462 0.227102 0.660271 1.500988 2.885790 4.895220 7.850078
2025-10-12 0.023391 0.184759 0.616209 1.511534 3.046475 5.332327 8.756685
2025-10-19 0.010388 0.139523 0.548992 1.466468 3.109624 5.624869 9.466288
2025-10-26 0.003910 0.105848 0.494251 1.432512 3.182752 5.929440 10.196798
2025-11-02 0.001371 0.085509 0.465231 1.442871 3.327748 6.344433 11.094041
2025-11-09 0.000175 0.062120 0.414294 1.396577 3.366991 6.594056 11.753494
2025-11-16 0.000019 0.054403 0.412716 1.461220 3.613065 7.183365 12.940576
2025-11-23 NaN 0.042209 0.386939 1.465457 3.748118 7.601199 13.884367
2025-11-30 NaN 0.038798 0.396064 1.554972 4.047756 8.293120 15.255798
2025-12-07 NaN 0.033424 0.392780 1.612631 4.289087 8.896700 16.505875
2025-12-14 NaN 0.026883 0.378274 1.638670 4.469618 9.404777 17.620118
2025-12-21 NaN 0.018890 0.346089 1.611100 4.541225 9.732791 18.463513
2025-12-28 NaN 0.014991 0.335357 1.640690 4.727891 10.257175 19.618605
2026-01-04 NaN 0.011208 0.319479 1.652038 4.876445 10.719298 20.683243
2026-01-11 NaN 0.006776 0.286400 1.604178 4.897249 10.961946 21.407202
2026-01-18 NaN 0.003948 0.259297 1.568081 4.938741 11.239243 22.188664
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002619 0.247251 1.579122 5.082048 11.696872 23.263100